Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047401 0.051558 0.055770 0.060350 0.065182 0.070123 0.075548
2024-10-13 0.041301 0.047462 0.053933 0.061207 0.069130 0.077471 0.086890
2024-10-20 0.035445 0.042916 0.051029 0.060430 0.070959 0.082328 0.095471
2024-10-27 0.031766 0.040329 0.049908 0.061302 0.074372 0.088783 0.105763
2024-11-03 0.027973 0.037213 0.047854 0.060833 0.076051 0.093155 0.113654
2024-11-10 0.025202 0.035018 0.046630 0.061112 0.078424 0.098205 0.122260
2024-11-17 0.023129 0.033463 0.045990 0.061930 0.081314 0.103782 0.131446
2024-11-24 0.022380 0.033470 0.047181 0.064909 0.086759 0.112367 0.144199
2024-12-01 0.019530 0.030541 0.044520 0.062975 0.086117 0.113625 0.148230
2024-12-08 0.017591 0.028658 0.043046 0.062397 0.087029 0.116665 0.154330
2024-12-15 0.015973 0.027080 0.041855 0.062078 0.088182 0.119942 0.160684
2024-12-22 0.015456 0.026996 0.042610 0.064254 0.092477 0.127088 0.171780
2024-12-29 0.014536 0.026300 0.042538 0.065381 0.095510 0.132794 0.181294
2025-01-05 0.013606 0.025523 0.042307 0.066267 0.098230 0.138133 0.190413
2025-01-12 0.012210 0.023936 0.040857 0.065436 0.098662 0.140566 0.195923
2025-01-19 0.011466 0.023300 0.040711 0.066352 0.101375 0.145894 0.205078
2025-01-26 0.010386 0.022039 0.039588 0.065853 0.102162 0.148736 0.211102
2025-02-02 0.009614 0.021218 0.039060 0.066145 0.103982 0.152895 0.218801
2025-02-09 0.009053 0.020704 0.038955 0.067008 0.106557 0.158031 0.227757
2025-02-16 0.009089 0.021217 0.040422 0.070152 0.112281 0.167322 0.242104
2025-02-23 0.007914 0.019502 0.038368 0.068111 0.110811 0.167134 0.244230
2025-03-02 0.007158 0.018473 0.037327 0.067500 0.111280 0.169475 0.249608
2025-03-09 0.006522 0.017607 0.036498 0.067163 0.112102 0.172266 0.255571